Add to Technorati Favorites Presidential Politics for America: Romney Wins Michigan, Arizona

Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Romney Wins Michigan, Arizona

(Click here for my live blog coverage of the Michigan Primary.)

You could see the wind taken out of their sails as CNN's primary team anchored tonight's Michigan coverage. This was supposed to be the state that solified the 2012 Republican Primary as a months long, competitive contest. But alas, as I tried to impress upon you for the last week, Romney still controlled the primary. Mitt Romney won both states tonight, and thanks to the media saying Romney was so vulnerable, his three-point, 41-38 lead (as of the time of this posting) is actually pretty solid. (Also solid, my 40-38 prediction on Monday in Romney's favor!)

Coupled with his Arizona triumph, Mitt Romney is tonight's big winner. In the coming day or two, we'll see the final delegate breakdown from Michigan--they're not yet available tonight--but the relevance of tonight is clear. Romney unofficially took back the momentum over the weekend. Now it's official. The momentum is back in his corner, and only Saturday's Washington Caucus lays between now and Super Tuesday.

Santorum needs to regroup as quickly as possible. In fact, his speech tonight started by talking about his mother and other strong women in his life--a clear appeal to regain the lost demographic that is the double x chromosome. Unfortunately for Santorum's team, they blew the speech by sending up Santorum shortly before CNN called Michigan for Romney, and they interrupted Santorum's speech to report it. Surely his handlers should know the call was coming any minute, and they should have waited for CNN to finish reporting on it. Much of his speech was pre-empted, and his attempt to manage the loss went out the window.

As for Romney, he needs to cement his momentum by winning Ohio. Georgia and Ohio are Super Tuesday's two biggest prizes, and he's likely to finish in third place in Georgia. That leaves Ohio, where Santorum is up in the polls. Romney's wins today will cut into Santorum's Ohio lead. If Romney can go there and take Ohio--in addition to doing well across other states on Super Tuesday--he might force the entire party to recognize his inevitability.

Don't forget to check back over the next couple days for more analysis, and I'll have an update on the delegate standings.

Until then,


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